Posted by cadsmith on January 30, 2011
Data deluge includes new terms. State unites in Sputnik Moment prioritizing tech innovation. All-Seeing Eye test results in contention. Egyptian election revolt disconnects media excepting network surveillance. Cyber police activated in Iran. Facebook handles hacks from Tunisia. Bluetooth is useful to insurgents. Mobile phones are to be tested in space. Android 3.0 SDK announced. Digital docs use steganography. Universal memory seeks to replace flash and DRAM. Alternative energy may take about three more decades. Robot hands become more robust. Cloud bots get smarter. Visual microscopy automated. Autom supports weight reduction. There were twenty recent links.
The Next Decade, George Friedman, 2010
This book looks at the near future of US foreign relations in terms of a realignment of the balance of power through actions of the President as Commander-in-Chief. There are two themes, the unintended empire, and whether it can be managed to allow the republic to survive. The US global military supports economic policy. Its President is always engaged in the art of war. This will move beyond recent fear of rising oil prices and Jihadist war and establish surrogates in each region. While democracy, human rights and social progress are still important, strategy becomes more of a concern than ideology. The issues are economic, geopolitical, demographic and technological. There is an aging population, contracting workforce, and lack of water. The state, in the form of the DoD, is more powerful than the market for long-term investment. On the American contents, Cuba is likely to be a target of influence, Latin America will include Brazil, Argentina and Mexico. The latter’s violence and corruption will be resisted at the border and cartels are expected to be in control there, while US hypocrisy will scapegoat members of its government staff during investigations. Canada is stable. In Asia, Korea, Australia and Singapore balance Chinese splintering and Japanese assertiveness. India surges economically, but is not a threat to China, and is balanced by Pakistan to keep its expenditures on Army and Air. In Europe, Brits’ interests are closer to US, and Poland is important to containment since Germany dominates economically, backed by France allied with Russian military which seeks to balance US with radical Islam. Denmark blocks Baltic sea exits. NATO is irrelevant. In the Middle East, US withdraws from Iraq, distances from Israel, and has detente with Iran. Sunni Turkey eventually rises and is important to Russian containment in Balkans and Caucasus. There are fourteen chapters.